A study of 34 retailers found five big names were already struggling with negative cash flow before the pandemic had even begun, relying on credit to fund any investment.
The report by business consultancy Alvarez & Marsal, the firm managing the collapse of Cath Kidston and sale of footwear chain Office, comes amid warnings of two million UK jobs losses and the biggest financial crisis since the Great Depression of the 1930s.
Figures from the Office for Budget Responsibility predict the worst GDP slump in a single quarter since records began in 1908.
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The next few weeks will be critical
Separately, The International Monetary Fund warned the global economy will suffer its deepest plunge since the Great Depression of the 1930s.
The report on retailers found that even if sales dropped by 10 percent during the coronavirus lockdown period, more than two-thirds of retailers would fall into negative cashflow.
But it suggests sales are set to drop as much as 70 percent – placing every retailer sampled into dangerous territory.
High street chains such as Debenhams will struggle to survive the coronavirus lockdown (Image: GETTY)
The retailers studied included major high street fixtures such as Next, Card Factory, Shoe Zone, Mulberry, John Lewis and Dunelm.
Over the past fortnight, several household names have slipped into administration, leaving workers desperately in need of financial help.
Carluccio’s, Brighthouse, Cath Kidston and Debenhams all feature in the list – with Oasis and Warehouse set to be the next victims.
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Analysts warn half of high street retailers face administration (Image: GETTY)
Cath Kidston is also in administration (Image: GETTY)
At the moment, retailers are being offered business rates holidays and furlough, which pays 80 percent of employees’ wages and are also being protected from eviction.
But the emerency measures introduced by Chancellor Rishi Sunak are only temporary and as lockdown continues through to summer, demands will intensify and retailers will have to consider alternative ways to pay rent and overheads.
Alvares and Marsal managing director Richard Fleming said Mr Sunak’s intervention had so far saved many brands from immediate collapse.
He said: “The next few weeks will be critical.
“Retailers need to ask themselves the tough questions and take steps to address underlying operational issues while they still have the chance.”
The future also looks bleak for smaller businesses with one in ten small planning to close or sell up and one in five looking to downsize.
The British outlook comes against an even gloomier global backdrop in which the worldwide economy is expected to shrink by 3 percent in a stunning coronavirus-driven collapse, the International Monetary Fund.
The IMF predicted a partial rebound in 2021, with the world economy growing at a 5.8 percent rate but said its forecasts were marked by “extreme uncertainty” and that outcomes could be far worse, depending on the course of the pandemic.
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Its World Economic Outlook report said: “It is very likely that this year the global economy will experience its worst recession since the Great Depression, surpassing that seen during the global financial crisis a decade ago.”
“The Great Lockdown, as one might call it, is projected to shrink global growth dramatically.”